Predicting the Sensitivity of Boreal Lake Ecosystems to Climate Change

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Funding Opportunity ID: 296246
Opportunity Number: NOIP17AC01132
Opportunity Title: Predicting the Sensitivity of Boreal Lake Ecosystems to Climate Change
Opportunity Category: Other
Opportunity Category Explanation: This announcement is not a request for applications.
This announcement is to provide public notice of the National Park Service’s intention to award financial assistance for the following project activities without competition.
Funding Instrument Type: Cooperative Agreement
Category of Funding Activity: Natural Resources
Category Explanation:
CFDA Number(s): 15.944
Eligible Applicants: Others (see text field entitled “Additional Information on Eligibility” for clarification)
Additional Information on Eligibility: Eligible member of a Cooperative Ecosystems Study Unit
Agency Code: DOI-NPS
Agency Name: Department of the Interior
National Park Service
Posted Date: Aug 07, 2017
Close Date: Aug 18, 2017
Last Updated Date: Aug 07, 2017
Award Ceiling: $100,000
Award Floor: $37,694
Estimated Total Program Funding: $100,000
Expected Number of Awards: 1
Description: BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES In order to predict lake sensitivity to climate change it is important to model the physical driver (lake thermal structure) and measure the ecological response (algal community change). Predicting the propensity of a lake to stratify during the summer growing season has been widely studied in Minnesota (Gorham and Boyce, 1989; Fang and Stefan, 1997). Large spatial surveys show that maximum lake depth and lake surface area are key parameters that determine whether a lake will stratify or not (Gorham and Boyce, 1989; Jacobson et al., 2010). Furthermore, recently developed physical lake models are now able to accurately describe lake thermal structure and dissolved oxygen conditions using meteorological and contemporary lake data (Stefan et al., 1998). Hind-casting these lake thermal models is therefore possible using measured historical weather data as we are currently doing for a pilot study of several GLKN lakes. Ultimately, resolving how boreal lakes respond to changes in thermal structure is a key step towards modifying management strategies to protect aquatic resources and informing public use to sustain public appreciation in a changing climate. Isle Royale was stablished as a park in 1931. Its inland lakes have been and are iconic features and key natural resources. These ecosystems provide important habitat for fish and waterfowl, including loons. They also provide popular recreational opportunities, including fishing, swimming, boating, and prime camping. Given the high value of these systems, the Water Resources Management Plan (Crane et al. 2006) lists monitoring of ISRO inland lakes as a high priority issue in this International Biosphere Reserve. The objective of this Agreement is to assess the sensitivity of boreal lakes to climate change based on the long-term changes in algal communities (the base of the aquatic food chain). The relative sensitivity of lakes along a gradient of lake stratification will provide a semi-empirical scale to predict which lakes will be most susceptible to changes in algal communities in the future. We will use a combination of contemporary limnological monitoring, ecosystem modeling, and lake sediment records from eight lake ecosystems along a gradient of size (lake area and depth).
Version: Synopsis 1





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